KERMAN

iii. POPULATION

This article is divided into three sections: (1) Population of Kerman province; (2) Population of Kerman sub-province; and (3) Population of the city of Kerman.

POPULATION OF KERMAN PROVINCE

Boundaries. The boundaries of Kerman province have changed since the first national census of population in 1956. The sub-province of Bandar ʿAbbās (now the capital of Hormozgān province), was included in this province in the 1956 census but was separated from it by 1966. The province was further modified during 1976-1986, when Herāt, Marvast, and a part of Dehaj districts were separated from Šahr-e Bābak, a sub-province (šahrestān) of Kerman province, and annexed to Mehriz sub-province in Yazd province. In the same period, the East Bašāgerd districts in Jiroft sub-province and six other villages (in Kahnuj sub-province) were separated from Kerman province and added to Mināb sub-province in Hormozgān. Due to these changes, the total land area of Kerman province, which was 193,978 km² in the 1966 and 1976 censuses, was reduced to 185,657 km² in 1986 (Zanjāni, 1992, pp. 30-35; Zanjāni and Raḥmāni, pp. 2-85), and then to 180,726 km² in 2006 by the detachment of a section of the Jāz Muriān marsh. Sub-province and district boundaries also have varied over time (Table 1).

Table 1 COUNTS OF GEOGRAPHICAL SUBDIVISIONS, KERMAN PROVINCE, 1966–2011
Subdivision	Census Year
	1966	1976	1986	1996	2006	2008	2011
Sub-province	6	8	10	10	16	17	23
District	17	18	23	21	45	46	58
Rural District	119	123	120	141	142	143	151
City	11	13	22	27	57	60	64
Settlement	5,765	6,145	6,428	5,937	5,932	5,936	5,287
Source: For years 1966, 1976 and 1986, Zanjāni et al., 1992, p. 7 ; for years 1996 and 2006, results of the corresponding National Census; for 2008, SCI, 2008a, p. 29.

 

Population and its distribution. Based on the first nationwide population and housing census taken in 1956, the total population of the province was around 789,000 persons (of whom 127,624 then belonged to Bandar ʿAbbās), while in the 2011 population and housing census, it had increased to nearly 2,939,000 (Table 2).

Table 2 POPULATION OF KERMAN PROVINCE BY URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, 1956–2011
Year	Population**	Urban	Rural
1956*	789,345	134,574	654,771
1966	761,851	196,476	565,375
1976	1,091,148	350,806	740,342
1986	1,622,958	698,755	882,275
1991	1,862,542	850,529	939,463
1996	2,004,328	922,883	1,060,075
2006	2,652,413	1,552,519	1,089,748
2011	2,938,988	1,689,842	1,242,344
*Including Bandar ʿAbbās sub-province. **Contradictions between the total population and summation of the urban and the rural population, for the years 1986 and thereafter, is due to the fact that unsettled populations are also included in the totals. Source: For the year 2011, SCI, 2014; for the rest of the years, SCI, 2008b, p. 92, Table 3-2.

 

In 2011, the population distribution of Kerman province indicates Kerman (capital of the province) as the most, and Kuhbanān as the least, populous sub-province. This can be seen in Table 3, in which absolute and relative population distribution of the province by sub-province are shown. It is worth noting that population concentration in Bāft, Bardsir, Rafsanjān, Sirjān, Kerman, and Kahnuj has been decreasing since 1966, and meanwhile Rāvar, Rudbār-e Janub, ʿAnbarābād, Qalʿa-ganj, Kuhbanān, and Manujān have evolved into sub-province status during the same period.

Table 3 DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION OF KERMAN PROVINCE BY SUB-PROVINCE, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, 2011
Sub-Provinces	Total	Urban	Rural	Percent	Urban	Rural
Total	2,938,988	1,689,842	1,242,344	100.00	100.00	100.00
Anār	35,295	17,644	17,651	1.20	1.04	1.42
ʿAnbarābād	85,942	25,397	60,545	2.92	1.50	4.87
Bāft	75,940	37,141	37,870	2.58	2.20	3.05
Bam	195,603	125,764	69,038	6.66	7.44	5.56
Bardsir	73,738	43,957	27,667	2.51	2.60	2.23
Fahraj	68,038	11,939	55,289	2.32	0.71	4.45
Fāryāb	134,417	6,025	28,392	1.17	0.36	2.29
Jiroft	277,748	121,988	155,760	9.45	7.22	12.54
Kahnuj	86,290	43,977	42,313	2.94	2.60	3.41
Kermān	722,484	621,374	101,110	24.58	36.77	8.14
Kuhbanān	21,721	16,648	5,073	0.74	0.99	0.41
Manujān	64,528	19,570	44,958	2.20	1.16	3.62
Narmāšir	58,229	8,216	50,013	1.98	0.49	4.03
Orzuʾia	41,979	7,555	34,424	1.43	0.45	2.77
Qalʿa-ganj	76,376	12,663	63,713	2.60	0.75	5.13
Rābor	34,392	11,657	22,205	1.17	0.69	1.79
Rafsanjān	287,921	171,197	115,114	9.80	10.13	9.27
Rāvar	40,295	22,651	17,644	1.37	1.34	1.42
Rigān	66,335	9,664	56,671	2.26	0.57	4.56
Rudbār-e Janub	104,421	12,223	92,198	3.55	0.72	7.42
Šahr-e Bābak	90,495	64,424	26,071	3.08	3.81	2.10
Sirjān	267,697	208,033	59,653	9.11	12.31	4.80
Zarand	129,104	70,135	58,969	4.39	4.15	4.75
Source: SCI, Census of Population and Housing 2011 (unpublished raw data)..

 

Age and sex composition. Sex ratio (number of men per 100 women) in the population of the province has been somewhat lower than that of the natural value of this ratio (105), which can be interpreted as the results of a low flow of out-migration in the province. Values of this measure were below natural level in the urban areas of the province during 1955-1975 but have risen closer to natural level since 1986. In the rural areas, in which a flow of out-migration is not unusual, the sex ratios are as expected (Table 4).

Table 4 SEX RATIO OF THE POPULATION OF KERMAN PROVINCE, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, 1956–2011
Year	Total	Urban	Rural
1956	100.7	98.9	101.1
1966	102.4	101.6	102.7
1976	101.9	108.0	99.1
1986	102.7	104.5	101.5
1991	104.7	105.8	104.0
1996	103.3	105.4	101.1
2006	104.3	105.0	103.3
2011	104.3	105.0	103.2
Source: For years 1956-2006, calculated based on Table 3-2 of the Kerman statistical yearbook (Sāl-nāma); for the year 2011, calculated based on Table 4 of SCI, “2011 Census Selected Results—UNFPA Iran,” electronically published, 2014; available at http://iran.unfpa.org/view_news.asp?id=248.

 

Based on the results of the 2006 and 2011 population censuses, age composition of the province is somewhat younger than that of the entire country (Table 5).

Table 5 AGE COMPOSITION OF KERMAN PROVINCE BY URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, COMPARED WITH THAT OF THE WHOLE COUNTRY, 2006 (PERCENT)
Major age group	Whole Country			Kerman Province
	Total	Urban	Rural	Total	Urban	Rural
All ages	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0
Under 15	25.1	23.7	28.0	28.3	26.8	30.4
15–64	69.7	69.5	65.9	67.0	69.1	63.9
65 and older	5.2	4.8	6.1	4.7	4.1	5.7
Source: SCI, 2009b.

 

It can be observed that the ratio of population in the ages of economic activity in the rural areas is lower than that of the urban areas, which reflects the flow of out-migration in the rural areas. This is more significant in Kerman province than in the entire country. Population of this province is in the beginning stages of aging (Table 6).

Table 6 POPULATION MEAN AND MEDIAN AGE IN KERMAN PROVINCE IN THE TWO SUCCESSIVE CENSUSES OF 1996 AND 2006
Measures	1996		2006
	Male	Female	Male	Female
Mean age	23.21	22.91	26.25	26.26
Median age	18.15	18.15	22.73	22.84
Source: Text taken from SCI, 2009b.

 

Marital status. Review of the results of 2006 population census shows that the marriage prevalence (percentage of married persons in the population up to 50 years of age) for younger ages in Kerman province is considerably lower than in the entire country. This is true for both urban and rural areas (Table 7). Despite these considerable differences, average age at first marriage is more or less the same in Kerman as in the entire country (Table 8).

Table 7 PERCENTAGE OF MARRIED 15- TO 19-YEAR-OLD WOMEN IN KERMAN PROVINCE COMPARED WITH THE ENTIRE COUNTRY, 2006
Area	Total	Urban	Rural
Entire country	16.7	14.7	20.7
Kerman province	14.6	12.8	17.3
Source: Calculated by the authors on the basis of results of the corresponding National Census for 2006.

 

Table 8 AVERAGE AGE AT FIRST MARRIAGE IN KERMAN PROVINCE COMPARED WITH THE ENTIRE COUNTRY, 2006
Area	Total		Urban		Rural
	Male	Female	Male	Female	Male	Female
Entire country	26.2	23.3	26.5	23.3	25.5	23.4
Kerman province	26.2	23.7	26.5	23.7	25.9	23.8
Source: SCI, 2009b.

 

Age at first marriage, although similar between urban and rural areas, is significantly different in the male and female populations, a difference of 2.5 years on average (urban: 2.8 years, rural: 2.1 years). It can also be noted that there is not much difference between marriage prevalence in Kerman province compared with the entire country: based on the data from 2006 population census, 99 percent of men and 98.6 percent of women in Kerman province were married before the age of 50, analogous, respectively, to 98.7 percent and 98.2 percent in the entire country.

In Kerman province, most first marriages remain permanent throughout the entire life of spouses. The results of the 2006 population census show that, among those married persons who had stated their sequence of marriage(s), around 97 percent (96 percent for men and 98 percent for women) remained married to their first partner (Table 9).

Table 9 MARRIAGE SEQUENCE AMONG MEN AND WOMEN OF KERMAN PROVINCE, 2006 (PERCENT)
Sequence of marriages	Male	Female
First marriages	91.7	96.1
Second marriages	3.5	1.8
Third marriages	0.3	0.1
Fourth marriages	0.1	0.0
None stated	4.5	2.0
Source: calculated by the authors, based on the National Census for 2006 as presented in the fourth session of the population association of Iran (Anjoman-e jamʿiyat-šenāsi-e Irān, http://population.ut.ac.ir/pai-objectives.html) by Ms. Ozra Naini (ʿOḏrā Nāʾini).

 

Migration. Based on the results of the 2006 population and housing census, around 365,000 migrants had entered Kerman province or changed their place of residency inside the province between 1996 and 2006. Of these, 43.6 percent had moved intra-sub-province; 29.3 percent, inter-sub-province; 23.9 percent were inter-provincial migrants; 2.9 percent had been born abroad; and 0.3 percent did not state their migration status.

Among all these migrants, 72.7 percent were settled in the urban areas, and 27.3 percent in the rural areas of the province. Considering the urban and rural ratio of the population in the province (58.5 percent and 41.5 percent), it can be seen that the urban areas have attracted migrants more than their weight in the total population.

The migration balance in Kerman province during this period has been negative by 25,126 persons. This is true for both urban (12,658 persons) and rural areas (2,469 persons). Most migration transaction (either in-migration or out-migration) of the province during these ten years have occurred between Kerman and its neighboring provinces of Sistān va Balučestān, Hormozgān, Yazd, and Ḵorāsān-e Rażawi, plus Tehran province. Migration balance of the province, by urban and rural areas, as well as migration status of Kerman province, by sex, origin, and destination of migrations are shown, respectively, in Table 10 and Table 11.

Table 10 MIGRATION BALANCE IN KERMAN PROVINCE BY SEX AND PLACE OF RESIDENCE BETWEEN 1996 AND 2006
Place of residence	Out-migrants	In-migrants
Whole province	380,373	365,247
Male	208,620	202,317
Female	171,753	162,930
Urban areas	278,248	265,590
Male	149,062	145,123
Female	129,186	120,467
Rural areas	102,126	99,657
Male	59,558	57,194
Female	42,568	42,463
Source: Calculated by the authors, based on the data in SCI, 2009b, pp. 71-75.

 

Table 11 IN-MIGRANTS TO KERMAN PROVINCE, BY ORIGIN AND DESTINATION OF MIGRATION, 1996–2006
Previous Place of Residence	Present Place of Residence
	Total		Urban Areas		Rural Areas
	Number	%	Number	%	Number	%
All in-migrants	365,247	100	265,590	72.70	99,657	27.30
Same sub-province	159,137	100	100,844	63.37	58,293	36.63
Urban areas	66,177	100	42,742	64.59	23,435	35.41
Rural Areas	92,960	100	58,102	62.50	34,858	37.50
Other sub-provinces of Kerman Province	107,168	100	87,474	81.62	19,694	18.38
Urban areas	87,309	100	73,350	84.01	13.959	15.99
Rural Areas	19,859	100	14,124	71.12	5,735	28.88
Sub-provinces of other provinces	87,427	100	68,530	78.39	18,897	21.61
Urban areas	80,323	100	63,730	79.34	16,593	20.66
Rural Areas	7,104	100	4,800	67.57	2,304	32.43
Other countries	10,535	100	8,097	76.86	2,438	23.14
Not stated	980	100	645	65.82	335	34.18
Source: SCI, 2009b, p. 41

 

In the distribution of migrants by cause of migration (Table 12), the main reason given for migration in Kerman province during the 10 years before 2006 census was to accompany a family household. Almost 40 percent of migrants had no other reason. Job requirements (including job transfer, looking for work or for better jobs) have been the second main cause of migration (20 percent of migrants).

Table 12 IN-MIGRANTS IN KERMAN PROVINCE BY CAUSE OF MIGRATION, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, 1996–2006
Cause of Migration	Total	Urban	Rural
Total	100.0	100.0	100.0
Looking for work or better work and job transfer	20.4	20.3	21.0
Education and end of education	16.6	19.8	8.0
Military services and its completion	8.4	7.0	12.0
Accompanying household	39.7	38.2	42.9
Other and none stated	14.9	14.7	16.1
Source: SCI, 2009b, p. 41.

 

Urbanization. In Kerman province, the urbanization ratio (that is, the proportion of the population living in areas classed as urban) was 52.89 percent and 58.53 percent in 1996 and 2006, respectively (entire country: 61.3 percent and 68.5 percent). The urbanization ratio varies greatly among the sub-provinces of Kerman. In this period it has been as low as 10.1 percent in Rudbār-e Janub and as high as 84.1 percent in Kerman. This measure has been 17.2 percent in Qalʿa Ganj, 18.4 percent in ʿAnbarābād, 28.4 percent in Manujān, 38.6 percent in Bam, 41.0 percent in Rāvar, 41.7 percent in Bāft, 43.3 percent in Kahnuj, 52.3 percent in Šahr-e Bābak, 54.6 percent in Bardsir, 55.6 percent in Jiroft, 57.3 percent in Zarand—all less than the province level, while the ratio in Kuhbanān (68.3 percent) and Sirjān (76.3 percent) was higher than the province level (based on the results of the 2006 population census, Kerman province, pp. 51- 69, tables 2-1, 2-2, and 2-3).

Between 1996 and 2006, there were considerable changes in the administrative subdivisions of the province; the number of sub-provinces rose from 10 to 16, and the number of cities from 27 to 57. Thus direct comparison of the results of the two censuses does not clearly indicate the urban-rural shift of the province. In Table 13, the results of the 1996 population census are reformulated in terms of the 2006 definitions of administrative subdivisions. Based on these statistics, the average annual rate of population increase is calculated to be 2.80 percent (instead of 3.08) in the urban areas, and 1.67 percent (instead of 3.07) in the rural areas. The ratio of the urban population was calculated by the authors to be 59.38 percent instead of 52.89 percent. If urban and rural subdivisions had remained unchanged during 1996-2006, then the ratio of the urban population would have remained more or less the same as the 1996 value (Zanjāni et al., 2009, pp. 13-14).

Table 13 POPULATION OF KERMAN PROVINCE AS ENUMERATED IN THE 1996 CENSUS AND AS REFORMULATED BASED ON 2006 ADMINISTRATIVE SUBDIVISIONS
Areas	As Enumerated in the Census	Reformulated Based on 2006 Administrative Subdivisions
Urban areas	1,060,075	1,177,498
Rural areas	922,883	805,460
Source: Based on the SCI, 2009b, reformulated by the authors according to the administrative subdivisions of the province in 2006.

 

Classification of cities by population size in 2006 shows that, out of 57 cities of the province, 38 cities had a population less than 10,000 persons; 9 cities, between 10,000 and 25,000; 7 cities, between 25,000 and 100,000; 2 cities, between 100,000 and 250,000; there was only one city with population of more than 500,000. Most of the cities in the province appear to be not more than a small town, with average population size about 27,000 persons in 2006. The average for the entire country is greater by 20,000 (Table 14).

Table 14 POPULATION OF CITIES OF KERMAN PROVINCE, 2006
City	Population	City	Population	City	Population
Anār	12,909	Ḥosaynābād	4,098	Negār	9,305
ʿAnbarābād	1,901	Jebālbārez	2,650	Neẓāmšahr	1,760
Anduhjerd	2,915	Jiroft	97,988	Nowdež	5,525
Bāft	37,249	Jupār	3,836	Orzuʾia	6,075
Bāḡin	8,081	Kahnuj	40,633	Pāriz	4,622
Bahremān	4,413	Ḵānuk	3,616	Qalʿa-ganj	12,108
Bam	75,215	Kaškuʾia	6,251	Rābor	12,707
Baravāt	15,523	Kāẓemābād	3,618	Rafsanjān	139,219
Bardsir	33,305	Kerman	515,114	Rāvar	23,407
Bezenjān	4,438	Kiānšahr	6,537	Rāyen	9,895
Čatrud	5,678	Kuhbanān	10,457	Reyḥānšahr	4,467
Darb-e Behešt	3,673	Māhān	17,166	Rudbār	8,843
Dehaj	7,760	Manujān	12,587	Šahdād	4,522
Eḵtiārābād	7,519	Mardehak	2,177	Šahr-e Bābak	4,575
Fahraj	6,382	Mes-e Sarčašma	8,482	Sirjān	170,916
Fāryāb	4,869	Mo-ḥam-madābād	5,982	Yazdānšahr	5,052
Golbāft	8,451	Moḥyābād	3,493	Zangiābād	6,688
Golzār	6,167	Najafšahr	6,768	Zarand	56,139
Hejdak	944	Narmāšir	4,242	Zeydābād	5,321
Source: SCI, 2009b.

 

The proportion of the rural population to the total in Kerman province is higher than that for the entire country. This proportion varies considerably between sub-provinces; the highest (89.9 percent) is recorded in Rudbār-e Janub sub-province; and the lowest (15.9 percent), in Kerman sub-province. The absolute number of the rural population also varies greatly among Kerman sub-provinces. Based on the results of the 2006 census, the highest and the lowest umber of the rural population numbers belong to Bam (173,207) and to Kuhbanān (7,885), respectively; the recorded counts for the other sub-provinces are: Rafsanjān, 119,803; Bāft, 84,545: Jiroft, 83,284; Kerman, 80,674; Rāvar, 15,111; Bardsir, 40,488; and Manujān, 45,733. Villages in Kerman province are rather under-populated. On the basis of the results of the 2006 census, the average population per village in Kerman province is 184 persons (entire country: 374).

Tribal population. Censuses of nomadic tribal population were conducted in 1987, 1998, and 2008, with variations in classifications used. It can be concluded, however, that the great majority of the nomadic population of Kerman province have both their summer and their winter settlements within the province (Table 15). Only a small number spend their winters outside the province, mainly in Hormozgān province.

Table 15 NOMADIC TRIBAL POPULATION AND HOUSEHOLDS OF KERMAN PROVINCE, BY PLACE OF WINTER AND SUMMER SETTLEMENTS IN THE CENSUS YEARS
Nomadic Population	Census Year
	1987	1998	2008
Male and female	109,405	129,904	109,360
Male	55,602	66,032	54,733
Female	53,803	63,872	54,627
Households	25,156	21,933	22,564
Those who spend both their summer and winter inside Kerman Province:
Male and female	102,725	122,586	102,568
Male	52,219	62,345	51,313
Female	50,506	60,241	51,255
Households	18,476	20,692	21,105
Those who spend the wintertime outside of Kerman Province:
Male and female	6,680	7,318	6,762
Male	3,383	3,687	3,390
Female	3,297	3,631	3,372
Households	1,143	1,243	1,459
Source: Derived by authors from Table 2 of the 1987, 1998, and 2008 publications of nomadic tribal population censuses by SCI (Natāyej-e sar-šomāri-e ejtemāʿi-eqteṣādi-e ʿašāyer-e kučanda-ye kešvar).

 

Because of the above-mentioned changes made in the administrative system of Kerman province, the counts of the nomadic population in the several censuses cannot be compared at the sub-province level. But it can be seen that in 2008 most of the nomadic tribal population belonged to the following sub-provinces: Bāft, 24,981 persons in 4,977 households; Bam, 19,006 persons in 3,860 households; Jiroft, 14,152 persons in 2,972 households; ʿAnbarābād, 9,790 persons in 2,029 households; Sirjān, 9,172 persons in 2,049 households. Concerning tribal affiliation, Jebālbārezi, Baluch, and Afšār have had the largest number of members.

Housing status. At the time of the 2006 census of the country’s total population and housing status, 615,929 households were living in Kerman province, of which 615,150 were ordinary settled and collective households living in the urban (366,790 households) and the rural (246,206 households) areas of the province. (The remainder are unsettled.) These households were settled in 517,652 dwelling units (urban: 316,292 units, rural: 201,360 units). Thus, on the average, there were 119 households per 100 dwelling units (urban: 116, rural: 122). Out of the above-mentioned 615,150 households, 563,512 households were living in conventional dwelling units (urban: 349,964 households, rural: 213,548), distributions of which are shown in Table 16 by the number of rooms. Almost 71 percent of the dwelling units in the province (urban: 69.9 percent, rural: 73.2 percent) were constructed during a twenty-year period between 1986 and 2006 (Table 17). The construction materials used for dwelling units are a subject of concern, especially in the rural areas of the province. Based on the results of the 2006 population and housing census, more than half (50.9 percent) of dwelling units in the rural areas of Kerman province are made of semi-durable or non-durable materials (Table 18, Table 19).

Table 16 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLDS SETTLED IN CONVENTIONAL DWELLING UNITS, BY NUMBER OF ROOMS, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, KERMAN PROVINCE, 2006
Number of Rooms Occupied	Total Areas	Urban Areas	Rural Areas
Total	100.0	100.0	100.0
1 room	26.2	9.7	15.3
2 rooms	26.2	23.2	31.1
3 rooms	23.6	24.1	23.5
4 rooms	19.5	21.6	16.0
5 rooms	10.7	12.8	7.3
6 rooms and more	6.6	7.8	4.6
Not stated	1.2	0.8	2.2
Source: Calculated on the basis of SCI, 2008b, pp. 220-22, Table 3-30.

 

Table 17 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF DWELLING UNITS BY YEAR OF CONSTRUCTION COMPLETION, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, KERMAN PROVINCE, 2006 (PERCENT)
Year of Construction Completion	Total	Urban	Rural
Total	100.0	100.0	100.0
2006	4.2	3.9	4.7
2001–2005	20.2	19.3	21.7
1996–2000	22.9	22.1	24.1
1985–1995	23.7	24.4	22.7
1976–1985	17.1	18.4	15.0
Before 1974	10.6	11.0	9.9
Unknown	1.3	0.9	1.9
Source: Calculated by the authors, based on the general results in SCI, 2008b, pp. 227-32, Table 3-32.

 

Table 18 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF DWELLING UNITS BY CONSTRUCTION, RURAL AND URBAN AREAS, KERMAN PROVINCE, 2006 (PERCENT)
Type of Frame and Construction Materials	Total	Urban	Rural
Total (all kinds of construction materials)	100.0	100.0	100.0
Durable materials (metal frame, reinforced concrete, brick and steel, stone and steel)	69.0	81.6	49.1
Semi-durable materials (brick and wood, stone and wood, cement blocks, all brick or stone and brick)	15.0	7.4	26.9
Non-durable materials (all wood, adobe and wood, adobe and clay, and the like)	16.0	11.0	24.0
Source: Based on the general results in SCI, 2008b, pp. 227-32, Table 3-32.

 

Table 19 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF DWELLING UNITS BY FLOOR AREA, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, KERMAN PROVINCE, 2006 (PERCENT)
Floor Areas in Square Meters	Total	Urban	Rural
Total	100.0	100.0	100.0
Less than 50 m2	18.7	9.5	33.4
51–75 m2	15.9	9.6	25.9
76–100 m2	20.6	22.2	18.2
101–150 m2	19.5	25.2	10.5
151–300 m2	23.7	30.9	11.5
More than 300 m2	2.6	2.6	0.5
Source: Based on the general results in SCI, 2008b, pp. 227-32, tables 3-32.

 

Altogether, these data suggest that relative frequency of small dwelling units, in terms of both floor area and room numbers, in the rural areas is higher than in the urban areas, indicating that people are harder pressed for housing in the rural areas. Although the percentage of durable dwelling units in the urban areas (81.6 percent) is higher than that of the rural areas (49.1 percent), a historical review shows that the trend of renovation of dwelling units in the rural areas is much faster than in the urban areas.

Economic activity status. Based on the results of the 2006 population and housing census, out of 2,183,790 persons aged 10 and over in the province, 40.1 percent are reported to be economically active (urban: 40.0 percent, rural: 41.3 percent). In the same year, the occupation ratio in Kerman province was 79.0 percent (urban: 82.9 percent, rural: 73.3 percent). Thus, the unemployment ratio has been estimated to be 21.0 percent (urban: 17.1 percent, rural: 26.7). This ratio varies greatly among different sub-provinces; it has been as low as 7.3 percent and 8.2 percent in Rudbār-e Janub and Rāvar, respectively, while other sub-provinces have been experiencing considerably high rates, among them Qalʿa-ganj (45.5 percent), ʿAnbarābād (44.8 percent), Jiroft (40.5 percent), Šahr-e Bābak (40.4 percent; SCI, 2009b, p. 84, table 3-11). Sex differentials in the ratios of activity, employment, and unemployment are considerable.

Moreover, in the entire Kerman province, the activity ratio, and consequently the employment ratio, have been declining in recent years (2006-8) among both men and women (Table 20).

Table 20 RATIOS OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY AND UNEMPLOYMENT IN KERMAN PROVINCE, BY SEX, 2006 AND 2008 (PERCENT)
Year	Activity Ratio		Unemployment Ratio
	Men	Women	Men	Women
2006	62.1	20.7	10.0	24.1
2008	59.0	11.5	7.5	17.6
Source: SCI, 2011b, p. 129, no. 7; pp. 131-38.

 

In 2006, most of the employed population (42.8 percent) was working in the service sector (urban: 57.5 percent, rural: 19.1 percent); the agriculture sector provided jobs for 28.2 percent of the employed population (urban: 9.6 percent, rural: 58.0 percent), and only 25.5 percent of the employed people were working in the industrial sector (urban: 30.7 percent, rural: 19.9 percent).

In Kerman province, almost three-quarters (72.2 percent) of employed individuals were working in the private sector, and only 25.6 percent were involved in the public sector (the other 2.2 percent: not stated). These overall ratios are estimated to be, respectively, urban: 64.8, 33.1, and 2.1 percent, rural: 84.0, 13.7, and 2.3 percent.

Household conditions. In Kerman province, the household average size was 4.3 persons in 2006 (Table 21). There was little difference between the urban (4.2) and the rural areas (4.4). During the years 1956-76, the value of this measure varied between 4.36 and 4.65 persons with no significant difference between the urban and rural areas (less than 0.1). However, in 1991 this figure reached the maximum of 5.37 persons (urban: 5.18, rural: 5.54), and it has been declining ever since.

Table 21 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLDS BY SIZE, KERMAN PROVINCE, 2006
Size of Households	Province	Urban Areas	Rural Areas
One person	5.2	4.8	5.8
Two persons	14.8	14.3	15.5
Three and four persons	41.0	44.3	36.2
Five and six persons	26.2	26.5	25.7
Seven persons and over	12.8	10.1	16.8
Source: Based on the general results of the 2006 National, Census, Kerman Province.

 

Out of 606,348 ordinary settled households of Kerman province, 91.9 percent of the population have been living in conventional dwelling units, 0.5 percent in tents, 4.6 percent in huts, 0.4 percent in hovels and caves, and 2.6 percent in other kinds of structure; 72.7 percent of the households were owner-occupants (urban: 66.6, rural: 83.3), 18.0 percent were renters (urban: 24.9 percent, rural: 6.7 percent), and the rest were living in free units belonging to the organization they served, or other kind of units (SCI, 2009b, table 3-2). There is close similarity between the size of households in the urban and rural areas.

Household income and expenditure. Since transition from traditional life to modern society has considerable impact on lifestyle, household income and expenditure may be counted as an important development index. The most recent information on household income and expenditure of Kerman province dates from 2008. These data are usually prepared on the province level and do not provide information on any of its administrative subdivisions.

Over a three-year period (2006-8), average annual expenditure of households shows an increase of 49.9 percent in the urban and 16.7 percent in the rural areas (Table 22). The rate of increase of urban household expenditure experienced a real transformation between 2007 and 2008, reaching 38.6 percent, from 8.2 percent in the previous year; in part, this may be due to the fuel rationing in 2007 and end of some price supports, leading to higher prices.

Table 22 AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME AND EXPENDITURE IN THE URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, KERMAN PROVINCE, 2006–2008 (IN RIALS)
Years	Urban Areas		Rural Areas
	Income	Expenditure	Income	Expenditure
2006	52,044,534	54,771,389	32,018,694	35,072,875
2007	65,958,972	59,264,471	42,264,818	37,017,245
2008	69,656,276	82,121,688	38,730,282	40,919,096
Source: SCI, Results of household income and expenditure survey in Kerman Province (Natāyej-e āmār-giri az hazina wa darāmad-e ḵānavārhā-ye šahri wa rustāʾi-e kešvar, ostān-e Kermān).

 

Another notable point is the high and increasing differences between urban and rural household expenditure in the province. As is noted in Table 22, in 2008 the annual household expenditure in the urban areas was more than twice that in the rural areas. The breakdown of household expenditure in terms of major categories (Table 23) shows that the cost of non-food commodities in the urban areas increased rapidly at this time, from 32.7 million rials in 2006 to 62.2 million rials in 2008—an increase of 90 percent in two years, while in the rural areas non-food costs went up by only 24 percent, from 13.27 to 16.46 million rials. In general, medical care and health expenses in the urban areas, and recreation, entertainment, and cultural service expenses in the rural areas (despite their low relative importance), had the greatest increase during 2006-2008. Meanwhile, costs of furniture, equipment, and services in the rural areas also had a considerable increase. In the same period, urban and rural household income increased by 33.8 percent and 21.0 percent, respectively. It is noteworthy that in 2006 and 2008 household expenditure exceeded income (SCI, 2011b, pp. 663-72, tables 20-2, 20-3, and 20-4, for expenditures, and pp. 679-82, tables 20-6, 20-7, for incomes).

Table 23 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE BY MAIN ITEMS, 2008, AND RATIO OF INCREASE BETWEEN 2006 AND 2008
Categories of Expenditure	Urban Areas: 2008 Relative Distribution	Increase: Ratio to 2006	Rural Areas: 2008 Relative Distribution	Increase: Ratio to 2006
Total	100.0	49.9	100.0	16.7
Food, beverages, and tobacco	24.3	19.1	40.2	14.4
Non-food commodities:
Total	75.7	15.8	59.8	11.2
Clothing, footwear, and repairs	6.2	86.9	8.1	8.1
Housing	23.0	20.8	18.8	21.9
Furniture, furnishings	5.3	49.4	5.8	43.3
Equipment and services
Medical care and health services	12.9	157.0	8.0	0.3
Transport and communications	15.7	35.2	12.7	-13.7
Recreation, entertainment, and cultural services	3.2	48.8	1.9	85.6
Miscellaneous Household goods and services	9.4	32.6	6.4	-2.3
Source: SCI, 2007a and 2009c.

 

Population projection of the province. In the last nationwide population projection done in 2009, projection was made for Kerman’s population in the period from 2011 to 2026 (Table 24).

Table 24 POPULATION PROJECTION FOR KERMAN PROVINCE (1,000 PERSONS)
Year	Including Migration			Based on Natural Increase, Excluding Unsettled
	Total	Urban	Rural	Total	Urban	Rural
2006	2,652	1,552	1,100	2,642	1,552	1,090
2011	2,872	1,703	1,169	2,882	1,693	1,189
2016	3,102	1,866	1,236	3,142	1,842	1,300
2021	3,302	2,016	1,286	3,380	1,974	1,406
2026	3,452	2,143	1,309	3,577	2,079	1,498
Source: Zanjāni et al., 2009, pp. 68-80.

 

POPULATION OF KERMAN SUB-PROVINCE

General characteristics. Kerman sub-province comprises 6 districts (baḵš), 19 sub-districts (dehestān), 13 cities, and 1,169 villages, of which 551 villages are settled. It has been recorded as the most populated sub-province in Kerman in all population censuses.

In 1996, 28.82 percent of the province’s population was living in Kerman sub-province, while in 2006 this proportion was reduced to 25.55 percent, mainly because Rāvar district had been turned into a new, separate sub-province. The new Kuhbanān sub-province has been reported to have a population of 39,463 persons (urban: 24,351, rural: 15,111). Correspondingly, the proportion of urban population of Kerman sub-province decreased during the same period, from 43.45 percent (460,602 out of 1,060,075) in 1996 to 38.45 percent in 2006 (596,976 out of 1,552,519), while the absolute number increased by 136,374. The rural population of Kerman sub-province was reduced from 117,077 people in 1996 to 80,674 in 2006 (that is, from 12.4 percent to 7.33 percent of the total rural population of the province). This can be regarded as partly the result of the separation of Rāvar sub-province from Kerman and partly due to the rate of out-migration; also, some villages have been made cities (based on SCI, 2009b, p. 49, table 2-1). During the same ten-year period, the urbanization rate in Kerman sub-province increased from 79.73 percent to 88.10 percent, which is 30 points higher than that of the entire province.

Type of households. Based on the results of the 2006 census, out of 166,952 enumerated households in the sub-province, 147,734 households were settled in the urban areas, 19,218 households in the rural areas, and 9 others were unsettled (Table 25). Members of the collective and institutional households are mostly men (5,339 men against 1,283 women in the collective households and 15,920 men against 7,669 women in the institutional households).

Table 25 DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION OF KERMAN SUB-PROVINCE BY TYPE OF HOUSEHOLD, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, 2006
Household Type	Sub-Province	Urban Population	Rural Population
Private, settled	647,430	570,447	76,983
Collective	6,622	6,328	294
Institutional	23,589	20,201	3,388
Private unsettled	9
Source: Calculated on the basis of table 3-4, in SCI, 2009b, p. 67.

 

Average household size (Table 26) is calculated to be 4.06 persons per household (4.04 in the urban and 4.20 in the rural areas), which decreased between the years 1996 and 2006 by 0.83 persons per household. The proportion of four-person households is higher than any other size of households in both urban and rural areas. The household-size differential between urban and rural areas of the sub-province has lessened in recent years. In 2006, most of the households in Kerman sub-province (89.1 percent) had a male head of household (urban: 89.0 percent, rural: 90.1 percent).

Table 26 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF KERMAN SUB-PROVINCE BY SIZE OF HOUSEHOLD, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, 2006 (PERCENT)
Household Size	Sub-Province	Urban Areas	Rural Areas
Total	100.0	100.0	100.0
One person	5.4	5.3	6.6
Two persons	15.4	15.4	15.5
Three persons	22.4	22.7	19.8
Four persons	24.4	24.6	22.8
Five persons	16.3	16.3	15.9
Six persons	8.8	8.7	9.9
Seven persons	4.1	4.0	4.9
Eight persons and more	3.2	3.0	4.4
Source: SCI, 2009b, pp. 103-6, Tables 3-18, 3-19.

 

Literacy and education (Table 27). Out of the total population of Kerman sub-province, in 2006, 610,510 persons were at the age of 6 years and over, including 543,531 city residents and 66,979 persons living in rural areas. The literacy rate was 89.0 percent in the entire sub-province (urban, all: 90.6 percent, men: 92.4, women: 88.8; rural, all: 87.6 percent, men: 79.3, women: 73.8).

Table 27 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF THE LITERATE POPULATION BY LEVEL OF EDUCATION, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, KERMAN SUB-PROVINCE, 2006 (PERCENT)
Level of Education	Sub-province	Urban Areas	Rural Areas
Total	100.0	100.0	100.0
Literacy movement	1.9	1.8	8.1
Elementary school	21.3	19.9	33.1
Junior high school	22.0	21.1	30.5
High school	32.4	33.3	24.9
Pre-university	2.3	2.4	1.2
University	17.9	19.4	4.5
Others	2.2	2.1	2.7
Source: SCI, 2009b, Table 3-10.

 

Migration status. (1) Lifetime migration. This term is applied to persons who leave their place of birth at least once and reside in a new location. One is counted as such at the time of a census or survey by comparison of the recorded place of birth and place of residence. All those who live in a place different from their place of birth are considered as lifetime migrants. In 2006, slightly over 67.5 percent of the sub-province population were living in the same area in which they had been born (urban: 67.2 percent, rural: 70.2 percent). Thus the rest (approx. 32.5 percent) would be defined as lifetime migrants. Of the urban population, 21.1 percent were migrants with urban origin, 9.5 percent migrants with rural origin; 1.8 percent were born abroad, and 0.4 percent did not state their migration status (rural: 18.3, 7., 3.6, and 0.5 percent, respectively; SCI, 2009b, pp. 71-72, table 3-5).

(2) Period migration. Those migrants who change their place of residence between two specific times (usually two successive censuses) are called migrants in that period of time. Between the years 1996 and 2006, in total, 128,643 people changed their place of residence inside the sub-province; of these, 111,939 persons moved to the urban areas and 16,704 moved to the rural regions (Table 28).

Table 28 IN-MIGRANTS BY ORIGIN AND DESTINATION, KERMAN SUB-PROVINCE, 1996–2006
Migration Origin	Migration Destination
	Kerman Sub-Province	Urban Areas	Rural Areas
Total	128,643	111,939	16,704
Kerman sub-province
Urban areas	28,651	22,196	6,454
Rural areas	20,433	17,670	2,762
Other sub-provinces of Kerman Province
Urban areas	31,951	30,278	1,673
Rural areas	9,183	8,528	655
Other provinces
Urban areas	32,333	27,731	4,602
Rural areas	2,359	2,078	281
Abroad	3,662	3,393	269
Not stated	72	65	7
Source: SCI, 2009b.

 

(3) Causes of period migration. Almost 41 percent of the period migrants during the 10-year period between 1996 and 2006 are subordinate or dependent migrants. These are individuals who migrate just to follow the head of their household. The proportion of subordinate migrants in the urban and rural areas of Kerman sub-province is 40 percent and 46 percent, respectively. Other migration causes are shown in Table 29.

Table 29 MAIN CAUSES OF MIGRATION IN KERMAN SUB-PROVINCE, BY URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, 2006 (PERCENT)
Main Cause of Migration	Sub-Province	Urban Areas	Rural Areas
Work, better work, and job transfer	18.7	17.2	19.3
Studying and completion of studying	18.8	19.2	4.4
Military service and completing it	7.8	6.8	15.2
Source: SCI, 2009b, pp. 72-78, Tables 3-6, 3-8.

 

Economic activity and occupation status. Based on the results of the 2006 census of population and housing, more than 40 percent of the population of Kerman sub-province, 10 years of age and over, were economically active. The number was higher in the rural areas (44.0 percent) than in the urban areas (39.7 percent). Out of the active population in the entire sub-province, 87.3 percent (urban: 87.2 percent, rural: 88.0 percent) was reported to be employed; in other words, 12.7 percent (urban: 12.8 percent, rural: 12.0 percent) of the population was unemployed, looking for work.

The economically inactive population consists of different groups, the proportions of which vary from one society to another. In Kerman sub-province, students have comprised the larger share, forming 24.0 percent of the inactive population of the sub-province (urban: 24.9 percent, rural: 16.5 percent). Housewives are reported to have the second larger share in the inactive population (23.4 percent in the entire sub-province, urban: 22.9 percent, rural: 27.3 percent). Pensioners, or generally speaking all those who have an income without working, form only 6.3 percent (urban: 6.6 percent, rural: 4.6 percent) of the sub-province’s inactive population; the rest did not indicate their activity status (Table 30).

Table 30 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF THE EMPLOYED POPULATION, BY ACTIVITY SECTOR, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, KERMAN SUB-PROVINCE, 2006 (PERCENT)
Activity Sector	Sub-province	Urban Areas	Rural Areas
Total	100.0	100.0	100.0
Agriculture	10.0	6.5	38.2
Industry	28.7	29.1	25.9
Services	59.4	62.5	33.9
Other	1.9	1.9	2.0
Source: SCI, 2009b, pp. 84-93, Tables 3-11, 3-12.

 

Occupation. In all the Iranian population censuses and surveys, ISCO (International Standard Classification of Occupations) is used for the classification of occupations. In this system, occupations are categorized most generally into nine major groups. Although they do not provide enough details to present a precise description of each occupation, they are informative enough to show the field of occupation of each employed person (Table 31).

Table 31 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF THE EMPLOYED POPULATION, BY MAJOR GROUP OF OCCUPATION, URBAN AND RURAL AREAS, KERMAN SUB-PROVINCE, 2006 (PERCENT)
Major Groups of Occupation	Whole Sub-Province	Urban Areas	Rural Areas
Total	100.0	100.0	100.0
Legislators, senior officials, and managers	3.1	3.4	0.7
Professionals	11.9	13.3	2.0
Technicians and associate professionals	6.1	6.9	1.3
Clerks, service workers, and salespeople	6.3	6.9	2.3
Skilled agricultural and fishery workers	8.2	4.5	33.2
Crafts and related trades workers	19.0	19.6	15.1
Plant and machine operators, assemblers, and drivers	13.0	13.6	8.7
Unskilled workers	0.7	10.1	14.9
Others and not stated	8.5	7.1	18.1
Source: Calculated by the authors; based on Table 3-13 of the results of the 2006 National Census.

 

Population projection. There is little reliable population projection for Kerman sub-province. The SCI (2010a, p. 32) has estimated the annual growth rate of the population of the sub-province to be 2.67 percent per year, which is an obvious overestimation, in view of the sharp decline in the annual population growth rate of the country (1.3 percent per year). A study on the population of the province (Zanjāni et al., 2009) suggests that the population of the sub-province will be 881,945 persons by the year 2025, increasing 1.41 percent per year. Another study involving nationwide population projection for each province (actually for 52 sub-national zones) has been done by a European consultant (Nejātiān, unpublished). Based on it, the population of Kerman sub-province for 2025 can be projected to reach 803,000, which is close to the figure suggested in the above-mentioned 2009 study.

Table 32 POPULATION OF THE CITY OF KERMAN BY ENUMERATION ZONE AND SEX, 2006
Zones	Male and Female	Male	Female	Sex Ratio
Whole city	515,087	263,446	251,641	104.7
Zone number 1	83,530	41,569	41,961	99.1
Zone number 2	65,359	33,325	32,034	104.1
Zone number 3	105,764	54,208	51,556	105.1
Zone number 4	146,261	76,536	69,725	109.8
Zone number 5	114,173	57,808	56,365	102.6
Source: Population indices of the cities of Iran, general results of the 2006 National Census.

 

POPULATION OF THE CITY OF KERMAN

Size, age and sex distribution of the population. The city of Kerman is the capital of Kerman province and of Kerman sub-province. In the 2006 population census, Kerman city was divided into 5 zones. At that time, its population was reported to be 515,114 (Table 32), of whom 24.4 percent were under 15 years of age, 71.8 percent were 15 to 64 years old, and 3.8 percent were 65 and over. Age structures vary significantly between different zones; the proportion of young population (ages 0-15) varies from minimum of 23.0 percent in zones 2 and 3 to the maximum of 25.5 percent in zone 5; the proportion of aged population (65 and over), recorded as 2.6 and 2.8 percent in zones 2 and 3, respectively, was 5.5 percent in zone number 1. The proportion of population in the age group of 15-64 years varied from 69.0 percent in zone 1 to 74.1 percent in zone 2 (SCI, 2010b, p. 62).

The population and its changes. During a 50-year period (1956-2006), the population of Kerman city grew from almost 62,000 to more than 515,000, an average increase of 4.32 percent per year (Table 33). In 2006, among 1,012 cities in Iran, Kerman city ranked thirteenth in size of population, 466th in size of household.

Table 33 POPULATION GROWTH OF THE CITY OF KERMAN, 1956–2006 (PERCENT)
Census Year	Population Size	Average Annual Growth Rate
1956	62,157
1966	89,700	3.74
1976	145,613	4.96
1986	264,560	6.15
1996	384,991	3.82
2006	515,114	2.95
Source: Calculated based on the results of the National Census, from 1956 to 2006.

 

Mean and median age. The mean age of the population of the city of Kerman in 2006 was estimated to be 27.2 years, varying from the minimum of 26.3 years in zone 3 to a maximum of 28 years in zone 2. The median age was 24 years, varying from 23 years in zones 4 and 5 to 25 years in zone 2 (based on the socio-economic indices of Kerman province, SCI, 2007a, table 3).

Literacy and education. Based on the results of 2006 population census, more than 90 percent of the population of Kerman city was of school age (6 years of age and over), and 92 percent of these persons were literate. This gives Kerman the thirteenth highest literacy ratio among all cities of the country and matches the city’s rank in population size (see above). The literacy ratio is not constant across the city; the minimum of 91.1 percent was in zone 5, and the maximum of 95.9 percent in zone 2. The literacy ratio for men is 91.1, and for women, 86.7 percent (SCI, 2010b, p. 151, table 3).

Migration. Of the population of Kerman city in 2006, 64.7 percent had been born there, and 35.3 percent were life-time migrants from other parts of the country. In Kerman city, 23.0 percent of the population comprise in-migrants with urban origin, 10.0 percent in-migrants with rural origin, and 1.8 percent immigrants; 0.4 percent did not state their migration status.

Economic activity status. In the 2006 census data, almost 84.2 percent (433,615 persons) of Kerman city population was of the activity age (that is, 10 years and over), of whom 39.4 percent were economically active and 59.8 percent inactive; the status of the rest (0.8 percent) was unknown. The activity ratio in Kerman city is somewhat higher than the average rate for cities, placing it twelfth among all cities in the country.

The employment and unemployment ratios in Kerman city are reportedly 87.1 percent and 12.9 percent of the active population (i.e., of 39.4 percent of active population who are in the job market). Comparison of these ratios with those of urban areas countrywide indicates a lower employment ratio and a higher unemployment ratio in Kerman city. Again, Zone 2 is in a better situation with the lowest unemployment ratio (10.5 percent) among all 5 zones; the highest (13.4 percent) belongs to zone 5 (SCI, 2010b, table 5).

Marital status. In 2006, out of 222,002 males 10 years of age and over in Kerman city, 52.0 percent were married, 0.9 percent were widowers, 0.5 percent were divorced, and 46.2 percent were never married; 0.4 percent did not state their marital status. The corresponding proportions for the female population 10 years of age and over were 52.6, 8.2, 1.5, 37.3, and 0.4 percent, respectively. In the Islamic Republic of Iran, legal age for marriage is higher for boys than it is for girls (18 years of age against 15). This can be counted as an explanation for the lower proportion of never-married women. An important point in Kerman city is the extremely high proportion of divorced and widowed women in comparison to men. The proportion of widowhood among women is actually nine times that among men. Similarly the proportion of divorced women is three times that of divorced men.

Marriage prevalence in Kerman city in 2006 was 96.2 percent for men and 98.3 percent for women. Thus there has not been noticed in Kerman city any demographic inbalance between men and women that would result in exclusion of some from the opportunity to marry (what is usually called “marriage squeeze”). Almost everybody gets married sooner or later. Despite high marriage prevalence in the city, the rate of early marriage (marriage at the age group of 15-19) was not high, especially for men (1.77 percent), though not negligible for women (11.4 percent). Even with the relatively high proportion of early marriage among women in the 2006 census, it is lower than in previous census years. These measures altogether indicate clearly a delay of marriages and an increase in the mean age at marriage. As a result, in 2006 mean age at marriage is calculated to be 26.5 years for men and 24.0 years for women (SCI, 2010b, pp. 284, 344, 374, tables 6-8).

Type of households and housing status (Table 34). Out of 127,936 households of Kerman city in 2006, almost 98.4 percent were private, settled households, 1.5 percent collective households, and only 0.1 percent institutional households (SCI, 2010b, p. 434, table 10). Almost all (99.9 percent) abodes of the city were ordinary units, with an average of 4 residents each.

Table 34 RELATIVE DISTRIBUTION OF DWELLING UNITS BY FLOOR AREA, IN KERMAN CITY, 2006 (PERCENT)
Floor Area (square meters)	Relative Frequency
Less than 50	8.3
51–75	8.4
76–80	5.5
81–100	16.5
101–50	25.9
151–200	20.6
201–300	11.5
301 and more	3.2
Source: SCI, 2009b, p. 464, Table 11.

 

Population projection. Population projection for cities is not a systematic process in Iran and usually depends upon development plans or case studies needed in larger plans. Based on a survey conducted as part of Kerman water supply project (Nejātiān), the population of Kerman city in 2026 was projected to be 785,283.